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Jan 21, 2013
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how would you invest in this environment? the muni bond market, obviously you and your father have long specialized in. what's your take on how to allocate capital today? >> you know, there are obviously so many things going on. the municipal bond industry is still somewhat a question in terms of what will happen as the budget talks continue, and will there be some form of tax on municipals? i think the important thing for people to do, and this is both men and women, is not to make any rash moves when things happen in washington or when there are major moves. really try and remember that you're planning for your life. you want to think about what your goals are and how your investments actually fit into that. one of the most important things that people should be doing, actually every year, is sitting down and doing a lifestyle analysis and figuring out how much am i spending, how much do i have to save, and how much do i have to invest? have my goals changed? i recommend people work with a financial adviser, a financial pla
how would you invest in this environment? the muni bond market, obviously you and your father have long specialized in. what's your take on how to allocate capital today? >> you know, there are obviously so many things going on. the municipal bond industry is still somewhat a question in terms of what will happen as the budget talks continue, and will there be some form of tax on municipals? i think the important thing for people to do, and this is both men and women, is not to make any...
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Jan 16, 2013
01/13
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dimon asked the feds for smaller buy back to go forward to play it safe in a regulatory environment. sue, back to you. >> thank you very much. matt, covering goldman sachs and j.p. morgan for wells fargo. matt, first of all, let's go to j.p. morgan. how do you rate the stock and do today's rates change the way you feel about the stock? >> thanks, sue. we have an outperform rating on j.p. morgan today and we've had it for some time. we think today's results actually were, once you read through a number of the one-time items, relatively strong. we see a core return on tangible common equity in mid teens. and we think that the strong mortgage performance of the company as well as the relatively strong performance out of investment bank, good revenue performance, and as your previous reporter mentioned, preconference as well and that leads it a solid performance. relative to the peer group for the next six to 12 months. >> so matt, give mae choice between goldman sachs and j.p. morgan. i know they have fundamental differences between them, but if you have to buy one stock today, would it
dimon asked the feds for smaller buy back to go forward to play it safe in a regulatory environment. sue, back to you. >> thank you very much. matt, covering goldman sachs and j.p. morgan for wells fargo. matt, first of all, let's go to j.p. morgan. how do you rate the stock and do today's rates change the way you feel about the stock? >> thanks, sue. we have an outperform rating on j.p. morgan today and we've had it for some time. we think today's results actually were, once you...
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Jan 21, 2013
01/13
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the bank of japan, if you monetize the debt in a low inflationary environment, is this a free lunch? >> right. >> in the uk, it has turned out to be a free lunch. would it in japan? possibly, yes, and, therefore, i wonder if these issues ever will be addressed. >> and what's so interesting, you're seeing these bizarre rates happening in a monetary policy. we feel like we're in a whole new regime where people feel like it doesn't matter at all. wondering if it matters at all how much you spend and borrow in these situations. how does it change, if at all your strategy from here? >> it makes having a long-term strategy really, really tough. and you can see that in the markets right now. what people see by more investment, it gets pushed into treasuries, into eks, and we see markets trading at very elevated levels. relative to fundamentals appears to become the norm. and i would argue that we're now in a world where it's very difficult to recruit any decent returns. as a result, as investors, we're going to have to live with that. >> and a lot of people are just closing up shop and sayi
the bank of japan, if you monetize the debt in a low inflationary environment, is this a free lunch? >> right. >> in the uk, it has turned out to be a free lunch. would it in japan? possibly, yes, and, therefore, i wonder if these issues ever will be addressed. >> and what's so interesting, you're seeing these bizarre rates happening in a monetary policy. we feel like we're in a whole new regime where people feel like it doesn't matter at all. wondering if it matters at all...
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Jan 15, 2013
01/13
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this company is adapting to the environment in realtime in order to avoid interference and give you the strongest signal possible. ruckus avoids interference and this makes their wi-fi gateways and access points ideal for dense environments like cities or college campuses and because the product is superior, businesses that use ruckus' hardware need to buy fewer wi-fi access points because it covers more area. the overall wi-fi equipment market is expected to grow from $3.4 billion to $8.4 billion in 2016. compound growth, 20% annually. but ruckus is taking share in that market. i believe they would do much better than the average wi-fi planner. getting two-thirds from the wireless networking business, 4% market share. that could go up. the company has ton of success in the schools. universities love to wire themselves up with wi-fi and ruckus gets a third of its enterprise revenues from hotels. they can make their guests pay through the nose for it, right? a third comes from the service provider wi-fi market where internet providers are providing their own wi-fi to their enterprise cus
this company is adapting to the environment in realtime in order to avoid interference and give you the strongest signal possible. ruckus avoids interference and this makes their wi-fi gateways and access points ideal for dense environments like cities or college campuses and because the product is superior, businesses that use ruckus' hardware need to buy fewer wi-fi access points because it covers more area. the overall wi-fi equipment market is expected to grow from $3.4 billion to $8.4...
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Jan 17, 2013
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. >> in this regulatory environment, they have got, to rick. >> i agree, but i think it's going to be nasty every first friday of the month for a while longer. >> all right. >> certainly going to be a lot of volatility. >> thanks, guys. see you later, gentlemen. >> michael fax he's bilingual, no knew. >> try having to say bartiromo every day. a big pair of bank earnings. a preview of american, press and intel. >> let's start win tell, folks. 45 cents, looking $13.5 billion in revenue. that's not what is important. intel couldn't trade on last quarter's numbers. it trades on forward revenue guide as. that's where the problem might be, so they are looking for 14.5 billion in the fourth quarter. the question is what's the guidance going to be, and a lot of people are concerned it's going to be below the current quarter numbers so 12.5 to 13.5 billion a lot of people are looking at. at 12.5 billion or below there's a problem for intel. american express, unfortunately, not a lot of sussense. i think it was the 10th last week when they were standing here. pre-announced. didn't tell us but c
. >> in this regulatory environment, they have got, to rick. >> i agree, but i think it's going to be nasty every first friday of the month for a while longer. >> all right. >> certainly going to be a lot of volatility. >> thanks, guys. see you later, gentlemen. >> michael fax he's bilingual, no knew. >> try having to say bartiromo every day. a big pair of bank earnings. a preview of american, press and intel. >> let's start win tell, folks. 45...
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Jan 16, 2013
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what's your take on the economic environment right now? >> well, you know, we expect that it's going to continue to be a challenging environment, and maria, as an organization we're very focused on the things, you know, that we can control in the marketplace and that's how we market our brand, product innovation and how we execute at the restaurant level, and image activation where we're reinvesting in our restaurants at a very aggressive rate is really producing some phenomenal results. these are the things that we can do to move our brand forward, and we have a lot of confidence in it. >> so, let me ask you about the commodities cost and, of course, this is something we've been talking about throughout the earnings season. chipotle today citing higher commodities expenses and going to impact their earnings through the fourth quarter. has this been the case for wendy's? what are you seeing. >> in 2012 we saw a 90 basis point increase in commodities which is roughly 3%. as we look at 2013, we're looking for something in the area of 90 to 1
what's your take on the economic environment right now? >> well, you know, we expect that it's going to continue to be a challenging environment, and maria, as an organization we're very focused on the things, you know, that we can control in the marketplace and that's how we market our brand, product innovation and how we execute at the restaurant level, and image activation where we're reinvesting in our restaurants at a very aggressive rate is really producing some phenomenal results....
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Jan 17, 2013
01/13
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a stock like citi group, we have in a low growth environment. earning $55 billion of excess capital. 45% of the market gap they can payback. the fed will restrict them in terms of the progress or how quickly they can do it but i would argue it's hard to find a large cap stock that can buy back or pay divisives of 40%, 45% of its market cap. >> kevin good to talk to you. that was for spending some time with us on halftime today. >> appreciate it. >> kevin holt. >>> biggest pops and drop. blackrock is getting a nice pop today. >> company report ad great number. 24 cents above plan. they also announce ad dividend increase better than expected and a buy back. inflows are also being seen. good story. this is the one to own. >> what's going on with lenard. >> i missed this home builder trade. screwed that one up. i'm not of the opinion either of these trade you move to the sidelines. >> netflix. >> netflix looks good too. netflix, big rumor out yesterday about big sellers in the stock. also the announcement that coin star is lunching streaming. >> we
a stock like citi group, we have in a low growth environment. earning $55 billion of excess capital. 45% of the market gap they can payback. the fed will restrict them in terms of the progress or how quickly they can do it but i would argue it's hard to find a large cap stock that can buy back or pay divisives of 40%, 45% of its market cap. >> kevin good to talk to you. that was for spending some time with us on halftime today. >> appreciate it. >> kevin holt. >>>...
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Jan 15, 2013
01/13
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against that backdrop, you have a pretty risky environment in the sense that pcs are going through a lot of change right now. so while the valuation of dell stock is pretty darn attractive and i understand the rationale in this low interest rate environment to want to do a deal, because the deal is so large and there's uncertainty around dell's pc core business, i think when push comes to shove, the deal does not get done. >> i want to underscore one of the top rated analysts doesn't think that it's going to happen. shares are moving a little bit higher. stocks almost 23% at this point. obviously had that huge move yesterday. where does that leave the company's future, toni? what are they going to do? >> look, i think the company has been very deliberate in laying out a strategy, which is, we're going to try and move away from pcs. we're going to take our cash and buy companies to try and make us more of an enterprise player. one of the benefits of not going private is you have more degrees of freedom. you don't have to use your cash flow to pay down debt. you can use your cash flow
against that backdrop, you have a pretty risky environment in the sense that pcs are going through a lot of change right now. so while the valuation of dell stock is pretty darn attractive and i understand the rationale in this low interest rate environment to want to do a deal, because the deal is so large and there's uncertainty around dell's pc core business, i think when push comes to shove, the deal does not get done. >> i want to underscore one of the top rated analysts doesn't...
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Jan 21, 2013
01/13
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the policy overlay, the policy concerns that have been a bit of be a an override, created an adverse environment on the dodd frank act. i think we're in the process of moving beyond those concerns and that could be really, really helpful. >> jared, is there a realistic prospect for something that could respectably be called tax reform or is that simply an exercise to raise a little bit more revenue? >> more of the latter than the former in my humble opinion. it's great they're all getting along today as hampton was telling us, but the idea of very deep tax reform seems pretty difficult given the disagreements up there. on the other hand, you were mentioning this earlier and i agree, the deal will involve both revenues, probably from the tax expenditure side, and spending cuts, and as has been said, the president has significant spending cuts on the table. >> corporate tax reform? >> possibly, but i'm not sure -- that again is going to be lower rate, broader base. i don't know if that's real massive tax reform. >> a second coming out for the obama daughters who have grown up before our eyes. >> p
the policy overlay, the policy concerns that have been a bit of be a an override, created an adverse environment on the dodd frank act. i think we're in the process of moving beyond those concerns and that could be really, really helpful. >> jared, is there a realistic prospect for something that could respectably be called tax reform or is that simply an exercise to raise a little bit more revenue? >> more of the latter than the former in my humble opinion. it's great they're all...
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Jan 18, 2013
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but we had to adjust to the environment we're in right now. that's what we're dealing with. >> where would you say the net flow is now between morgan stanley brokers and merrill brokers right now? who's winning? are you -- you added more? have they -- and are you -- are you in an aggressive mode right now in terms of offering them increased compensation to come to morgan stanley, or -- >> i'm going to give you an answer which may be a little counterintuitive. the person who's winning might be the one who's actually losing on net flow. in other words, there are some very aggressive recruiting packages out there. anybody can go out and spend money -- >> in the past -- >> spend money and buy talent. do you want us just buying talent? >> i don't know. where are you now in terms of totals? >> we're over 16,500. i forget exactly. i think merrill -- you know, honestly, i don't even know. >> ubs is a big player. >> well, ubs is very different. they're a global private bank doesn't have brokers, has private bankers. the domestic business which is the o
but we had to adjust to the environment we're in right now. that's what we're dealing with. >> where would you say the net flow is now between morgan stanley brokers and merrill brokers right now? who's winning? are you -- you added more? have they -- and are you -- are you in an aggressive mode right now in terms of offering them increased compensation to come to morgan stanley, or -- >> i'm going to give you an answer which may be a little counterintuitive. the person who's...
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Jan 16, 2013
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i think that the financial story and economic story is saying this is not the kind of financial environment that leads to rapid growth. >> interesting. >> okay. >> you tied it in to dell and jpmorgan and everything else. excellent. larry, thank you. >> my pleasure. >> join us tomorrow. "squawk on the street" begins right now. >>> good wednesday morning. welcome to "squawk on the street." i'm melissa lee with carl quintanilla, and jim cramer and david faber at the new york stock exchange. stocks had a pretty nice day yesterday. the s&p closed at five-year highs. we are looking to the down decide this morning. the dow looking to lose about 62 at the open. the picture in europe, a couple of downgrades for gdp forecasts from both the german government and world bank. italy is down by 1.5%. road map this morning starts off with the banks and earnings. jpmorgan higher. goldman sachs at 18-month highs. >> japan airlines grounding their entire dreamliner fleet. >>> dell shares falling this morning after david faber reports that a deal could be announced within two weeks, but at a price of 13.50 or
i think that the financial story and economic story is saying this is not the kind of financial environment that leads to rapid growth. >> interesting. >> okay. >> you tied it in to dell and jpmorgan and everything else. excellent. larry, thank you. >> my pleasure. >> join us tomorrow. "squawk on the street" begins right now. >>> good wednesday morning. welcome to "squawk on the street." i'm melissa lee with carl quintanilla, and jim...
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Jan 14, 2013
01/13
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that's what you have to do particularly in today's environment where there is a fair amount of risk. let me ask you before we get into this dwe bait. how are you managing risk right now? how are you allocating capital? >> we're global managers so we have a broad spectrum where we can go now. we think overseas is advantageous rather than being in the u.s. close to the highs. yet the economy is -- the real economy is trading somewhat off its highs. if you look at europe, for example, where the headlines have been negative. the news flow has been awful. performance has been awful as well. so the market in europe has more reflected the performance of the real economy than it has here in the u.s. the fed qe program, the safe haven of the u.s. has caused money to flow to this part of the world. i think that leaves the u.s. a little pricier and perhaps more of a risk. >> it takes courage to fight the fed, though, right? >> absolutely. but ultimately and jack said it, fundamentals do matter. i think the market will reflect those. >> i heard active management does better in down markets than
that's what you have to do particularly in today's environment where there is a fair amount of risk. let me ask you before we get into this dwe bait. how are you managing risk right now? how are you allocating capital? >> we're global managers so we have a broad spectrum where we can go now. we think overseas is advantageous rather than being in the u.s. close to the highs. yet the economy is -- the real economy is trading somewhat off its highs. if you look at europe, for example, where...
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Jan 16, 2013
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the question people ask is, can we see anything from the fourth quarter that will tell us what the environment in 2013 is like. i guess my answer to that would still be no. fiscal cliff issues, europe, the election, tropical storms, et cetera, and there's still no real clarity on what the business models, investment banking are going to look like as we head toward three. it's going to be much better numbers than a year ago. numbers are going to be slightly down versus the third quarter. and -- to my mind, there's still really nothing we'll be able to take away from the numbers in terms of -- >> which is frustrating because we're at a time when we are trying to re-evaluate what the model is going to be, what earnings will look like going forward. in your view, what is -- what is the investment case for these investment banks today? >> well, the investment case for an investment bank is that when they work very well, they are extremely capital -- if i advise a company and get a fee for ecm or m&a deal, it requires no capital, and i get a lot of money. that's very attractive. the second thing is
the question people ask is, can we see anything from the fourth quarter that will tell us what the environment in 2013 is like. i guess my answer to that would still be no. fiscal cliff issues, europe, the election, tropical storms, et cetera, and there's still no real clarity on what the business models, investment banking are going to look like as we head toward three. it's going to be much better numbers than a year ago. numbers are going to be slightly down versus the third quarter. and --...
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Jan 18, 2013
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the main thing is capital will flee a hostile environment. if i were a risk taking entrepreneur in california i would be thinking about heading east to texas. >> i feel a bit dumb because i had no idea of the export power of texas. i probably would have picked california. we'll show a table and what this table says is texas 2011 exports, $251 billion in second place california at $159 billion. that is very impressive. hears what i like the most. go to the next table. it is easy. when i first heard it i said it's obvious because california doesn't maximize natural resources because of the green component. has such a large lobby and presence in california. even if you extract all the exports petroleum and coal products that still leaves you around 200 billion. you're still blowing the competition away. >> yep. isn't that nice? we also have great trading partners in mexico and canada and we send a lot of parts to the factories which are tremendous engine of growth for mexico. so our number one trading partner is mexico followed by canada and the
the main thing is capital will flee a hostile environment. if i were a risk taking entrepreneur in california i would be thinking about heading east to texas. >> i feel a bit dumb because i had no idea of the export power of texas. i probably would have picked california. we'll show a table and what this table says is texas 2011 exports, $251 billion in second place california at $159 billion. that is very impressive. hears what i like the most. go to the next table. it is easy. when i...
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Jan 15, 2013
01/13
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treasury, and that type of environment where dividends are going to grow 10% this year, that can be a good backdrop on stocks like ford that developed its dividend last week, lowe's on the home improvement side and dresser injuries and transindustries. >> with all due respect, jpmorgan out yesterday saying that maybe the dividend play is last year's play and maybe now is the time to get into riskier assets in equities because they feel like the economy is going to start to pick up. so you're sticking with the dividend play though? >> i am. for these two reasons. one, bill, the growth of dividends is the story. not the absolute yield. it's the growth in dividends and that can be names like qualcomm, apple, ford is my example. second. when investors look much like 1994 and 1999, when interest rates went higher, the ten-year treasury was yielding, was returning minus 3% for those two calendar years. people will come back to the stock market, but they will come back to the stock market in the safer yield and dividend-growing stories. that is why i think the catalyst for david dents will s
treasury, and that type of environment where dividends are going to grow 10% this year, that can be a good backdrop on stocks like ford that developed its dividend last week, lowe's on the home improvement side and dresser injuries and transindustries. >> with all due respect, jpmorgan out yesterday saying that maybe the dividend play is last year's play and maybe now is the time to get into riskier assets in equities because they feel like the economy is going to start to pick up. so...
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Jan 14, 2013
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the yield curve will get more possibly sloped and that will be indicative of strengthening economic environments. >> got it. dennis, great to see you. >> always nice to be on. >> dennis gartman. time now for pops and drops, the big movers you might have missed. drop for verizon. b.k.? >> trading down in sympathy with apple and the order cuts. verizon sells a lot of the iphones. i would stay away. >> big pop for fifth and pacific. up 11%. karen? >> yes, they were at the icr conference, a big retail conference this week and they put out numbers which were not as disappointing that people thought. kate spade, absolutely on fire, even though juicy, not so juicy, but we like fifth and pacific. >> pop for research in motion. pete? >> this is the story with a no story. a stock that was $11.82 at 10:00 in the morning that finished at 1 $14.95. there's been volume in the stock and options. expectations this stock is going to go higher. splenty of speculation. forget about that. a lot of dollars right now. >> pop for ups. grasso? >> their deal with tnt express fell apart. they have to pay $266 million bec
the yield curve will get more possibly sloped and that will be indicative of strengthening economic environments. >> got it. dennis, great to see you. >> always nice to be on. >> dennis gartman. time now for pops and drops, the big movers you might have missed. drop for verizon. b.k.? >> trading down in sympathy with apple and the order cuts. verizon sells a lot of the iphones. i would stay away. >> big pop for fifth and pacific. up 11%. karen? >> yes, they...
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Jan 14, 2013
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in this regulatory environment that's not a good place to be. james foreman's move into retail and other sector so i think that's a meaningful shift for them. >> is the regulatory environment too tight? >> in some number of areas, yes. in some others, no. so i can actually say mixed answer. in a lot of dodd-frank has to do with things that had nothing to do with the financial crisis. you may remember one of the first laws actually implemented where they wrote the language was debit fees. they capped debit fees. that had nothing to do with anything around the financial crisis. on the other hand things like the volcker rule and others, they're still working on them, and i think there should be some good regulation around capital risk taking, and such, on the trading desks. that's still to come. >> the other big banking wall street news this week is jamie diamond and jpmorgan, i don't know if you follow this, but the london whale, the board, is going to be potentially releasing an internal report on what happened. if you were on the board would you
in this regulatory environment that's not a good place to be. james foreman's move into retail and other sector so i think that's a meaningful shift for them. >> is the regulatory environment too tight? >> in some number of areas, yes. in some others, no. so i can actually say mixed answer. in a lot of dodd-frank has to do with things that had nothing to do with the financial crisis. you may remember one of the first laws actually implemented where they wrote the language was debit...
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Jan 16, 2013
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in the near term, overall performance of the pc client group is key to understanding the overall environment. but for the stock, the company's full year guidance, which we expect to hear, probably matters more so i'll be watching that. longer term, analysts need better evidence that intel really can gain ground in tablets and smartphones where so far, chip giant just hasn't made a dent. back to you. >> thank you for that, jon fortt. the other issue is inventory. that's been rising as a percent of revenues since the third quarter of last year. and that is -- they have to scale back production in order to cut back the inventory. >> they are so poorly positioned in the tablet space, tabletting are destroying laptops right now. if you talk about emerging market growth, it's again, back to that apple story. it's as a much lower gross margin. intel guided gross margins to 57%. that's the lowest since q-3 2009. i don't think it's a good press. it just rallied 10% off the november lows, but it's kind of in no man's land. you really need to get a sense how they are positioned. don't forget, they are
in the near term, overall performance of the pc client group is key to understanding the overall environment. but for the stock, the company's full year guidance, which we expect to hear, probably matters more so i'll be watching that. longer term, analysts need better evidence that intel really can gain ground in tablets and smartphones where so far, chip giant just hasn't made a dent. back to you. >> thank you for that, jon fortt. the other issue is inventory. that's been rising as a...
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Jan 15, 2013
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this is a very good credit environment. but that is a huge amount of financing for an lbo. in fact we haven't seen something like that since the financial crisis, and you're not buying into a great road story here. you're not buying into energy. you're buying into dell. basically the banks would be asked to do a bet on the personal computer market. >> dan, the second piece of this, as i think about it, though, is this idea that you're actually going back to the club deal, right? you're having two firms club up, and now with something that was, almost, i thought it was now a relic of the 2007, '06, '05 and people were no longer going to do that, at best, they were going to partner potentially with their own limited partners like the pension funds but not necessarily together to fund themselves. >> yeah, and it's particularly interesting that tpg is involved in this. one of the biggest private equity firms in the world but they might have some troubles fund-raising next time out. their performance hasn't been good the last two funds. one of the things they've been telling the
this is a very good credit environment. but that is a huge amount of financing for an lbo. in fact we haven't seen something like that since the financial crisis, and you're not buying into a great road story here. you're not buying into energy. you're buying into dell. basically the banks would be asked to do a bet on the personal computer market. >> dan, the second piece of this, as i think about it, though, is this idea that you're actually going back to the club deal, right? you're...
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Jan 17, 2013
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it is a tough environment for luxury as people trade down and start looking for bargains. joining us is susan lyne, chairman of gilt.com. she's also the former president and ceo of martha stewart living. also on set with us this morning our guest host, mellody hobson. susan thank you for joining us this morning. >> thank you. >> i checked out gilt.com and i have to say, these are great brands at great prices. >> it is. >> how do you offer some of the bargains you're offering? >> you know, we've got long relationships now, we're about five years old, with many of the top brands, and they realize this is a great way for them to sell excess inventory and everyone has excess inventory because these are event-based sales. they're quick. and consumers love them. >> i've seen you run out of stock quickly on these things. buy it now or it's gone type of situation. >> yep. >> is it a difficult environment for luxury right now? is that a fair estimation? >> our sector has had a fantastic holiday. we were up over 30% on gilt.com. >> but you're talking about bargain prices, where peop
it is a tough environment for luxury as people trade down and start looking for bargains. joining us is susan lyne, chairman of gilt.com. she's also the former president and ceo of martha stewart living. also on set with us this morning our guest host, mellody hobson. susan thank you for joining us this morning. >> thank you. >> i checked out gilt.com and i have to say, these are great brands at great prices. >> it is. >> how do you offer some of the bargains you're...
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Jan 17, 2013
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i actually feel the environment is still tough, maybe getting more friendlives can i ask you about the rally we've had generally? it's notable that goldman sachs has outperformed both the ac and citi with an 18% rise in the stock over the last month. today, of course, you downgraded goldman sachs in the light of that move. where are you on the sort of share price movement that is we might see in those three and oats moves forward? >> to see additional up side in a broker dealing, you have to see the economy get better. that could happen. i'm hoping it will happened. i'm just not sure if this is the time to put new money into goldman sachs, if we're sure not sure that will play its way out. it's just a matter of, how long does it take for the uncertainty to get out of the way, so companies can get back to making acquisitions. >> jeff, do people give you a hard time when you cut the ratings and yet boost the price targets? that gets made fun of a lot. >> yeah, we do get some for it. the price target increase, it's very form layically driven. what our pick it into our what it's done over
i actually feel the environment is still tough, maybe getting more friendlives can i ask you about the rally we've had generally? it's notable that goldman sachs has outperformed both the ac and citi with an 18% rise in the stock over the last month. today, of course, you downgraded goldman sachs in the light of that move. where are you on the sort of share price movement that is we might see in those three and oats moves forward? >> to see additional up side in a broker dealing, you have...
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Jan 17, 2013
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and then the mortgage re-phi boom in this interest rate environment has been a boom in the past couple of years. those are going to expire at some point. with interest rates where they are, it's difficult for the banks on margin. there's no question the banking system is much stronger, earning better and is has much higher capital and liquidity than it's had probably forever almost. >> you know, well, that's quite a statement because there's a lot of people who would still say banks shouldn't necessarily be turning around and handing capital back to shareholderses. would you agree that given the improvements we've made, it's time for them to be allowed to go forward? >> i think that the banks have accumulated so much capital and that they really don't have a good use for it in light of the lack of qualified loan demand. i'm not saying lack of loan demand because there's a lot of loan demand. but the credit standards are much higher and you don't have much to do with the capital. so you have to give it back if you don't need it. i'm talking about toous banks. it's not true around the wo
and then the mortgage re-phi boom in this interest rate environment has been a boom in the past couple of years. those are going to expire at some point. with interest rates where they are, it's difficult for the banks on margin. there's no question the banking system is much stronger, earning better and is has much higher capital and liquidity than it's had probably forever almost. >> you know, well, that's quite a statement because there's a lot of people who would still say banks...
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Jan 18, 2013
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cost structure, looking at technology, looking at taking out costs and everything because that is the environment when the i.t. budgets are much flatter. so from that point, we were looking quite good so far as we get into the next year. >> and last question, what do you think this company will look like in calm of years time? it's been through so many transformations, changing business over the years. is this going to be a company that is still heavily focused on i.t. services as you divest some of the other parts of the business? what do you think this will actually look like in, say, 2015? >> clearly, you've been clearly focused on i.t. services, we had the demerger announcement last quarter and we are progressing very well. so as we exhibit this for the calendar or near or on that, we should be able to be done in terms of activity. which means if we're limited now, it will contain only the products and services in the geography. services are globally. it will focus more and more in terms of momentum as we identify with the life sciences, energy, natural resources, liquidities all in terms of
cost structure, looking at technology, looking at taking out costs and everything because that is the environment when the i.t. budgets are much flatter. so from that point, we were looking quite good so far as we get into the next year. >> and last question, what do you think this company will look like in calm of years time? it's been through so many transformations, changing business over the years. is this going to be a company that is still heavily focused on i.t. services as you...
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Jan 14, 2013
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itself, when you've got growth and you've got employment opportunity, you've got income growth and environment of very low interest rate is headache to policymaker in which i think the government here continue to have to fine tunemakers every now and then essentially because after they tighten one time, they quiet down the market, but i comes back again because the liquidity flows remain strong. so whether this is the measures toned all measures remains to be seen, i think if the interest rate remains low, we may see further tightening after a period of quiet. i suppose contemplation, i think. >> stick right there. we also want to take a look at what is happening over in india. we're seeing mixed pictures on inflation. headline inflation slowed to its lowest level in three years, in fact. that was up about 7.2% from a year earlier and well shy of expectations. some say the lower than expected wpi fueled the rate cut from india. does this mean 25 basis point rate cuts and more to come? >> well, there's firm pressure from the politicians on the central bankers to do so. the growth is still rathe
itself, when you've got growth and you've got employment opportunity, you've got income growth and environment of very low interest rate is headache to policymaker in which i think the government here continue to have to fine tunemakers every now and then essentially because after they tighten one time, they quiet down the market, but i comes back again because the liquidity flows remain strong. so whether this is the measures toned all measures remains to be seen, i think if the interest rate...
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Jan 15, 2013
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the group struck a down beat note warning that the global environment would remain challenging. let's take a look at shares. they are trading up nearly 4% in trade in london, up better than 7% in the last seven days. what's interesting, too, this is a company that last year just in talking about chinese sales saw shares get walked. >> after a really big run. there was a lot built into expectation owes that. >> this time, investors seemed happy about beating the last time. >> meantime, the 2% drop for same-store sales for h&m showed total sales up 8% last month, outperforming stims estimates. >>> coming up, we'll take a closer look at burberry with. >> inny carlisle, joining out at so is 10:45 a.m. central european time. set your alarm clock. >> something even more important is going on. for all of those who like a strong pint of bitter, the british beermaker has announced that it is reducing the alcohol content in its ale because of rising costs and lower demand. apparently watered down beer allows the parent company, heineken, to pay a lower rate of duty. so they're going to re
the group struck a down beat note warning that the global environment would remain challenging. let's take a look at shares. they are trading up nearly 4% in trade in london, up better than 7% in the last seven days. what's interesting, too, this is a company that last year just in talking about chinese sales saw shares get walked. >> after a really big run. there was a lot built into expectation owes that. >> this time, investors seemed happy about beating the last time. >>...
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Jan 14, 2013
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>> in this environment, we're actually asking our clients to think about three things. first we're going to have low interest rates for awhile. so they need to adjust their expected returns. so in a low interest rate environment we're going to have lower returns across all asset classes. second, we're telling our clients that as they think about the lower returns in the context of their portfolios, they also need to recognize that we are going to have volatility from incremental policy on a global basis. whether it's in the u.s., europe, japan or emerging market countries. we are expecting that policy, whether it's monetary policy adjustments, fiscal policy, it will all be incremental. and that will create market pressure because it won't be at a pace that the markets would like to see. so that will introduce volatility. and it's not something our clients should try to trace. they should look over the horizon and invest for the long run. >> looking at the long run, three to five-year term outlook if you look at those expected returns, what's interesting to me is that yo
>> in this environment, we're actually asking our clients to think about three things. first we're going to have low interest rates for awhile. so they need to adjust their expected returns. so in a low interest rate environment we're going to have lower returns across all asset classes. second, we're telling our clients that as they think about the lower returns in the context of their portfolios, they also need to recognize that we are going to have volatility from incremental policy on...
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Jan 16, 2013
01/13
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. >> one what are the things you think you can do in this environment? by the way, i talked to bankers who say, you know what, i don't know if anyone's going to trust us. first of all i'm not sure anyone did historically trusted banks. >> agreed. >> and that it may never get that much better until, frankly, the economy gets better and the unemployment picture gets better. >> i would sake exception with never. i think there have been times in the past when the banker was your friend. you knew you could go down and get a loan if you needed to buy a house. you didn't worry about whether you could qualify. you worried about, you know, what house you wanted to buy. those are the types we need to get back. to frankly, banking's only one part of the financial services industry. this is a very broad, very wide industry. markets are driven based on people's confidence in their future, their willingness to invest in something they think has a better future than the current times. so earning that confidence. you know, financial advisers in our industry, professiona
. >> one what are the things you think you can do in this environment? by the way, i talked to bankers who say, you know what, i don't know if anyone's going to trust us. first of all i'm not sure anyone did historically trusted banks. >> agreed. >> and that it may never get that much better until, frankly, the economy gets better and the unemployment picture gets better. >> i would sake exception with never. i think there have been times in the past when the banker was...
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Jan 15, 2013
01/13
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the environment we live in is still conducive to be la tij jous because no one can make any money. carl, back to you. >> rick, we'll talk to you in a bit. rick santelli. >>> goldman is making waves with its bonus payouts. mary thompson has a flash. >> the company confirming that goldman has decided not to delay the bonus payments until april which would have allowed the bonuses to be taxed at a lower rate. goldman sachs' stock is slightly higher, about three-quarters of a percent. those payments originally due here in the u.s. in 2013 but the company, again, accelerated those payments into 2012 to take advantage of lower tax rates. again, the uk says -- someone close to the company saying that after some consideration, it will not be delaying bonus payments there to take advantage of lower rates. back to you. >> yeah, not the only bank where compensation is in the news. thank you, mary. >>> a few minutes left in europe's trading days. simon hobbs in less than 60 seconds. and i jumped right on it. tdd# 1-800-345-2550 tdd# 1-800-345-2550 since i've switched to charles schwab... tdd#
the environment we live in is still conducive to be la tij jous because no one can make any money. carl, back to you. >> rick, we'll talk to you in a bit. rick santelli. >>> goldman is making waves with its bonus payouts. mary thompson has a flash. >> the company confirming that goldman has decided not to delay the bonus payments until april which would have allowed the bonuses to be taxed at a lower rate. goldman sachs' stock is slightly higher, about three-quarters of a...